Author: Paul-Martin Foss

Every day brings more and more news that market participants are warning of the risk of a severe recession. Experienced traders from both stock and bond markets are positioning themselves to protect themselves against the downturn, which they universally agree will be catastrophic. The only question now is, with stock markets still elevated, will mainstream […]

There has been a lot of criticism of stock markets this year, particularly when the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 reach new highs based solely on expectations of a resolution of the trade war with China. It seems that every time President Trump, or anyone in the administration, gets in front of the cameras […]

Every day seems to bring more and more news of headwinds facing the economy. Now international organizations are warning that global trade growth is slowing, an ominous indicator that the world economy continues to slow. Earlier this year, analysts at the World Trade Organization (WTO) forecast a 2.6% increase in world trade this year. Now […]

World reserve currencies don’t remain reserve currencies forever. The British pound and its gold standard once ruled international finance, but after abandoning the gold standard during World War I and unsuccessfully attempting to reintroduce it after the war, the pound ceded its reserve currency status to the US dollar. Since the end of World War […]

Ray Dalio is one of the world’s richest men, one of its most prominent investors, and the founder of one of the world’s largest hedge funds. He’s also bearish on the future of the economy, betting $1.5 billion that the economy will turn south before then. If stocks turn south by the end of March, […]

A key component to the surge in stock prices over the past several years has been the record high level of corporate stock buybacks. Corporations have been issuing trillions of dollars in debt in order to buy back shares of their stock. That boosts earnings per share, a key metric used to determine executive compensation. […]

For years, market analysts have wondered when the fourth round of quantitative easing (QE) would occur. We all remember QE1, QE2, and QE3, which mainstream economic analysts praise as having saved the financial system from ruin in 2008 and afterwards. But the trillions of dollars created during those bouts of easing have created an enormous […]

With manufacturing activity slowing, job postings declining, and manufacturing activity grinding to a halt, the economy is obviously headed toward recession. Yet stock markets seem oblivious to all of that, reaching new highs in the past few days and confounding everyone who sees the next recession just around the corner. Yet many stock market bears […]